UltraTech Cement Ltd. (ULTRACEMCO): stock score 54/100
UltraTech Cement Ltd. (ULTRACEMCO) scores 54 out of 100 (around average among the Nifty 50 (India)) on trend, stability, fundamentals and market backdrop. Every calculation step shown. Educational, not advice.
How the score is built
Trend: 58/100 (+2.0 points)
- Price is -0.8% vs its 100-day average → higher than 75% of the comparison group → 75
- 12-1 month momentum -8.9% → higher than 41% of the comparison group → 41
- Average of the two → trend score 58.0
Tested in our research: the trend rule did not hold up out of sample.
Stability: 79/100 (+7.2 points)
- Forecast 21.0% vs normal 21.2% → ratio 0.99
- Ratio is higher than 21% of the comparison group → 100 minus 21 → stability 79.0 (bigger expected swings than usual → lower stability)
A machine-learning volatility model beat HAR for the S&P 500 (p = 0.04); not yet tested on single stocks. This component uses HAR.
Fundamentals: 39/100 (-2.8 points)
- Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +18.8% → higher than 47% of the comparison group → 47
- Pre-tax-margin change (profit before tax / sales) vs a year earlier: +0.4 pp → higher than 43% of the comparison group → 43
- Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: +1.8 pp → higher than 26% of the comparison group (lower is better) → 26
- Average of available items → fundamentals score 38.7
Not yet tested in our research.
Market backdrop: 41/100 (-2.2 points)
- India VIX in its 5-year range: 40 after inverting (lower India VIX → higher)
- Breadth vs its 5-year range → 5
- Yield curve vs its 5-year range → 79
- Average → backdrop score 41.3 (same for every stock)
Tested in our research: cross-asset indicators did not improve forecasts.
ULTRACEMCO score history (weekly)
| Week ending | Score | Band | Trend | Stability | Fundamentals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | 54 | Around average | 58 | 79 | 39 |
| 2026-10-23 | 37 | Below average | 59 | 13 | 38 |
| 2026-10-16 | 45 | Around average | 48 | 37 | 51 |
| 2026-10-09 | 35 | Below average | 44 | 5 | 50 |
| 2026-10-01 | 37 | Below average | 48 | 9 | 51 |
| 2026-09-25 | 49 | Around average | 50 | 45 | 51 |
| 2026-09-18 | 37 | Below average | 36 | 3 | 51 |
| 2026-09-11 | 38 | Below average | 34 | 17 | 51 |
| 2026-09-04 | 48 | Around average | 45 | 37 | 51 |
| 2026-08-28 | 47 | Around average | 39 | 33 | 52 |
| 2026-08-21 | 51 | Around average | 39 | 47 | 52 |
| 2026-08-14 | 44 | Around average | 39 | 15 | 52 |
Construction Materials stocks compared
- ULTRACEMCO: 54/100
- GRASIM: 51/100
Questions
What is UltraTech Cement Ltd.'s (ULTRACEMCO) Quantooo score today?
ULTRACEMCO scores 54 out of 100 on 2026-10-29, around average among Nifty 50 stocks. It ranks 12th of 50 overall and 1st of 2 in Construction Materials. It was 38 a week earlier.
What raises and lowers ULTRACEMCO's score?
Stability adds the most (79/100, +7.2 points) and fundamentals weighs on it most (39/100, -2.8 points). The score is 50 plus each part's weighted distance from 50.
Is ULTRACEMCO stock volatile right now?
Our volatility model (HAR) expects annualised swings of 21.0% over the next 20 trading days, against a normal level of 21.2% for ULTRACEMCO: about as calm as usual for this stock. Its stability score is 79/100 compared with the other Nifty 50 stocks.
How are UltraTech Cement Ltd.'s fundamentals changing?
Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +18.8%; Pre-tax-margin change (profit before tax / sales) vs a year earlier: +0.4 pp; Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: +1.8 pp. Fundamentals score: 39/100. From the NSE results (nse ixbrl) filed 2026-10-19 (period to 2026-09-30).
Does the score predict ULTRACEMCO's share price?
No. The score describes the stock's recent data; it is not a forecast of the share price. Our own tests found no reliable ability to rank stocks by future returns, and every test, including the failures, is published. Educational, not investment advice.
Sector: Construction Materials. Data as of 2026-10-29. Scores describe data; they are not recommendations or predictions. Educational, not investment advice.