Oil & Natural Gas Corporation Ltd. (ONGC): stock score 54/100
Oil & Natural Gas Corporation Ltd. (ONGC) scores 54 out of 100 (around average among the Nifty 50 (India)) on trend, stability, fundamentals and market backdrop. Every calculation step shown. Educational, not advice.
How the score is built
Trend: 55/100 (+1.2 points)
- Price is -4.6% vs its 100-day average → higher than 51% of the comparison group → 51
- 12-1 month momentum -2.6% → higher than 59% of the comparison group → 59
- Average of the two → trend score 55.0
Tested in our research: the trend rule did not hold up out of sample.
Stability: 69/100 (+4.8 points)
- Forecast 28.2% vs normal 28.3% → ratio 1.00
- Ratio is higher than 31% of the comparison group → 100 minus 31 → stability 69.0 (bigger expected swings than usual → lower stability)
A machine-learning volatility model beat HAR for the S&P 500 (p = 0.04); not yet tested on single stocks. This component uses HAR.
Fundamentals: 52/100 (+0.4 points)
- Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +25.7% → higher than 68% of the comparison group → 68
- Pre-tax-margin change (profit before tax / sales) vs a year earlier: -6.5 pp → higher than 10% of the comparison group → 10
- Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: -2.4 pp → higher than 76% of the comparison group (lower is better) → 76
- Average of available items → fundamentals score 51.5
Not yet tested in our research.
Market backdrop: 41/100 (-2.2 points)
- India VIX in its 5-year range: 40 after inverting (lower India VIX → higher)
- Breadth vs its 5-year range → 5
- Yield curve vs its 5-year range → 79
- Average → backdrop score 41.3 (same for every stock)
Tested in our research: cross-asset indicators did not improve forecasts.
ONGC score history (weekly)
| Week ending | Score | Band | Trend | Stability | Fundamentals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | 54 | Around average | 55 | 69 | 52 |
| 2026-10-23 | 57 | Around average | 67 | 69 | 54 |
| 2026-10-16 | 54 | Around average | 45 | 73 | 54 |
| 2026-10-09 | 54 | Around average | 42 | 77 | 54 |
| 2026-10-01 | 52 | Around average | 37 | 77 | 54 |
| 2026-09-25 | 54 | Around average | 41 | 69 | 54 |
| 2026-09-18 | 56 | Around average | 37 | 75 | 54 |
| 2026-09-11 | 49 | Around average | 33 | 59 | 54 |
| 2026-09-04 | 52 | Around average | 29 | 65 | 54 |
| 2026-08-28 | 54 | Around average | 29 | 67 | 54 |
| 2026-08-21 | 52 | Around average | 33 | 55 | 54 |
| 2026-08-14 | 53 | Around average | 33 | 57 | 54 |
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Questions
What is Oil & Natural Gas Corporation Ltd.'s (ONGC) Quantooo score today?
ONGC scores 54 out of 100 on 2026-10-29, around average among Nifty 50 stocks. It ranks 13th of 50 overall and 2nd of 3 in Oil Gas & Consumable Fuels. It was 57 a week earlier.
What raises and lowers ONGC's score?
Stability adds the most (69/100, +4.8 points) and market backdrop weighs on it most (41/100, -2.2 points). The score is 50 plus each part's weighted distance from 50.
Is ONGC stock volatile right now?
Our volatility model (HAR) expects annualised swings of 28.2% over the next 20 trading days, against a normal level of 28.3% for ONGC: about as calm as usual for this stock. Its stability score is 69/100 compared with the other Nifty 50 stocks.
How are Oil & Natural Gas Corporation Ltd.'s fundamentals changing?
Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +25.7%; Pre-tax-margin change (profit before tax / sales) vs a year earlier: -6.5 pp; Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: -2.4 pp. Fundamentals score: 52/100. From the NSE results (nse ixbrl) filed 2026-08-04 (period to 2026-06-30).
Does the score predict ONGC's share price?
No. The score describes the stock's recent data; it is not a forecast of the share price. Our own tests found no reliable ability to rank stocks by future returns, and every test, including the failures, is published. Educational, not investment advice.
Sector: Oil Gas & Consumable Fuels. Data as of 2026-10-29. Scores describe data; they are not recommendations or predictions. Educational, not investment advice.