NTPC Ltd. (NTPC): stock score 52/100

NTPC Ltd. (NTPC) scores 52 out of 100 (around average among the Nifty 50 (India)) on trend, stability, fundamentals and market backdrop. Every calculation step shown. Educational, not advice.

How the score is built

Trend: 46/100 (-1.0 points)

  1. Price is -7.1% vs its 100-day average → higher than 37% of the comparison group → 37
  2. 12-1 month momentum -3.6% → higher than 55% of the comparison group → 55
  3. Average of the two → trend score 46.0

Tested in our research: the trend rule did not hold up out of sample.

Stability: 63/100 (+3.2 points)

  1. Forecast 25.5% vs normal 25.4% → ratio 1.00
  2. Ratio is higher than 37% of the comparison group → 100 minus 37 → stability 63.0 (bigger expected swings than usual → lower stability)

A machine-learning volatility model beat HAR for the S&P 500 (p = 0.04); not yet tested on single stocks. This component uses HAR.

Fundamentals: 57/100 (+1.8 points)

  1. Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +7.8% → higher than 12% of the comparison group → 12
  2. Pre-tax-margin change (profit before tax / sales) vs a year earlier: +4.6 pp → higher than 92% of the comparison group → 92
  3. Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: -1.3 pp → higher than 67% of the comparison group (lower is better) → 67
  4. Average of available items → fundamentals score 57.1

Not yet tested in our research.

Market backdrop: 41/100 (-2.2 points)

  1. India VIX in its 5-year range: 40 after inverting (lower India VIX → higher)
  2. Breadth vs its 5-year range → 5
  3. Yield curve vs its 5-year range → 79
  4. Average → backdrop score 41.3 (same for every stock)

Tested in our research: cross-asset indicators did not improve forecasts.

NTPC score history (weekly)

Week endingScoreBandTrendStabilityFundamentals
2026-10-2952Around average466357
2026-10-2354Around average378360
2026-10-1658Around average458159
2026-10-0956Around average388759
2026-10-0154Around average348360
2026-09-2556Around average357960
2026-09-1857Around average337760
2026-09-1155Around average377360
2026-09-0456Around average347360
2026-08-2856Around average287161
2026-08-2154Around average305761
2026-08-1455Around average296161

Power stocks compared

Questions

What is NTPC Ltd.'s (NTPC) Quantooo score today?

NTPC scores 52 out of 100 on 2026-10-29, around average among Nifty 50 stocks. It ranks 17th of 50 overall and 1st of 2 in Power. It was 55 a week earlier.

What raises and lowers NTPC's score?

Stability adds the most (63/100, +3.2 points) and market backdrop weighs on it most (41/100, -2.2 points). The score is 50 plus each part's weighted distance from 50.

Is NTPC stock volatile right now?

Our volatility model (HAR) expects annualised swings of 25.5% over the next 20 trading days, against a normal level of 25.4% for NTPC: about as calm as usual for this stock. Its stability score is 63/100 compared with the other Nifty 50 stocks.

How are NTPC Ltd.'s fundamentals changing?

Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +7.8%; Pre-tax-margin change (profit before tax / sales) vs a year earlier: +4.6 pp; Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: -1.3 pp. Fundamentals score: 57/100. From the NSE results (nse ixbrl) filed 2026-07-24 (period to 2026-06-30).

Does the score predict NTPC's share price?

No. The score describes the stock's recent data; it is not a forecast of the share price. Our own tests found no reliable ability to rank stocks by future returns, and every test, including the failures, is published. Educational, not investment advice.

Sector: Power. Data as of 2026-10-29. Scores describe data; they are not recommendations or predictions. Educational, not investment advice.