ITC Ltd. (ITC): stock score 29/100
ITC Ltd. (ITC) scores 29 out of 100 (below average among the Nifty 50 (India)) on trend, stability, fundamentals and market backdrop. Every calculation step shown. Educational, not advice.
How the score is built
Trend: 34/100 (-4.0 points)
- Price is -3.4% vs its 100-day average → higher than 65% of the comparison group → 65
- 12-1 month momentum -32.7% → higher than 3% of the comparison group → 3
- Average of the two → trend score 34.0
Tested in our research: the trend rule did not hold up out of sample.
Stability: 7/100 (-10.8 points)
- Forecast 21.0% vs normal 18.4% → ratio 1.15
- Ratio is higher than 93% of the comparison group → 100 minus 93 → stability 7.0 (bigger expected swings than usual → lower stability)
A machine-learning volatility model beat HAR for the S&P 500 (p = 0.04); not yet tested on single stocks. This component uses HAR.
Fundamentals: 34/100 (-4.0 points)
- Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +27.6% → higher than 75% of the comparison group → 75
- Pre-tax-margin change (profit before tax / sales) vs a year earlier: -11.0 pp → higher than 6% of the comparison group → 6
- Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: +2.2 pp → higher than 22% of the comparison group (lower is better) → 22
- Average of available items → fundamentals score 34.0
Not yet tested in our research.
Market backdrop: 41/100 (-2.2 points)
- India VIX in its 5-year range: 40 after inverting (lower India VIX → higher)
- Breadth vs its 5-year range → 5
- Yield curve vs its 5-year range → 79
- Average → backdrop score 41.3 (same for every stock)
Tested in our research: cross-asset indicators did not improve forecasts.
ITC score history (weekly)
| Week ending | Score | Band | Trend | Stability | Fundamentals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | 29 | Below average | 34 | 7 | 34 |
| 2026-10-23 | 27 | Below average | 32 | 7 | 32 |
| 2026-10-16 | 29 | Below average | 32 | 7 | 34 |
| 2026-10-09 | 46 | Around average | 38 | 73 | 33 |
| 2026-10-01 | 29 | Below average | 16 | 29 | 33 |
| 2026-09-25 | 32 | Below average | 21 | 21 | 33 |
| 2026-09-18 | 32 | Below average | 10 | 29 | 33 |
| 2026-09-11 | 25 | Below average | 7 | 9 | 33 |
| 2026-09-04 | 46 | Around average | 10 | 81 | 33 |
| 2026-08-28 | 40 | Around average | 10 | 53 | 33 |
| 2026-08-21 | 44 | Around average | 9 | 69 | 33 |
| 2026-08-14 | 47 | Around average | 13 | 73 | 33 |
Fast Moving Consumer Goods stocks compared
- NESTLEIND: 63/100
- TATACONSUM: 56/100
- ITC: 29/100
- HINDUNILVR: 29/100
Questions
What is ITC Ltd.'s (ITC) Quantooo score today?
ITC scores 29 out of 100 on 2026-10-29, below average among Nifty 50 stocks. It ranks 47th of 50 overall and 3rd of 4 in Fast Moving Consumer Goods. It was 28 a week earlier.
What raises and lowers ITC's score?
Market backdrop adds the most (41/100, -2.2 points) and stability weighs on it most (7/100, -10.8 points). The score is 50 plus each part's weighted distance from 50.
Is ITC stock volatile right now?
Our volatility model (HAR) expects annualised swings of 21.1% over the next 20 trading days, against a normal level of 18.4% for ITC: bumpier than usual for this stock. Its stability score is 7/100 compared with the other Nifty 50 stocks.
How are ITC Ltd.'s fundamentals changing?
Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +27.6%; Pre-tax-margin change (profit before tax / sales) vs a year earlier: -11.0 pp; Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: +2.2 pp. Fundamentals score: 34/100. From the NSE results (nse ixbrl) filed 2026-07-31 (period to 2026-06-30).
Does the score predict ITC's share price?
No. The score describes the stock's recent data; it is not a forecast of the share price. Our own tests found no reliable ability to rank stocks by future returns, and every test, including the failures, is published. Educational, not investment advice.
Sector: Fast Moving Consumer Goods. Data as of 2026-10-29. Scores describe data; they are not recommendations or predictions. Educational, not investment advice.