Hindalco Industries Ltd. (HINDALCO): stock score 51/100
Hindalco Industries Ltd. (HINDALCO) scores 51 out of 100 (around average among the Nifty 50 (India)) on trend, stability, fundamentals and market backdrop. Every calculation step shown. Educational, not advice.
How the score is built
Trend: 55/100 (+1.2 points)
- Price is -9.3% vs its 100-day average → higher than 19% of the comparison group → 19
- 12-1 month momentum +22.2% → higher than 91% of the comparison group → 91
- Average of the two → trend score 55.0
Tested in our research: the trend rule did not hold up out of sample.
Stability: 55/100 (+1.2 points)
- Forecast 29.5% vs normal 29.2% → ratio 1.01
- Ratio is higher than 45% of the comparison group → 100 minus 45 → stability 55.0 (bigger expected swings than usual → lower stability)
A machine-learning volatility model beat HAR for the S&P 500 (p = 0.04); not yet tested on single stocks. This component uses HAR.
Fundamentals: 55/100 (+1.1 points)
- Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +32.1% → higher than 84% of the comparison group → 84
- Pre-tax-margin change (profit before tax / sales) vs a year earlier: +2.2 pp → higher than 77% of the comparison group → 77
- Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: +7.2 pp → higher than 3% of the comparison group (lower is better) → 3
- Average of available items → fundamentals score 54.6
Not yet tested in our research.
Market backdrop: 41/100 (-2.2 points)
- India VIX in its 5-year range: 40 after inverting (lower India VIX → higher)
- Breadth vs its 5-year range → 5
- Yield curve vs its 5-year range → 79
- Average → backdrop score 41.3 (same for every stock)
Tested in our research: cross-asset indicators did not improve forecasts.
HINDALCO score history (weekly)
| Week ending | Score | Band | Trend | Stability | Fundamentals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | 51 | Around average | 55 | 55 | 55 |
| 2026-10-23 | 52 | Around average | 54 | 61 | 55 |
| 2026-10-16 | 55 | Around average | 52 | 67 | 55 |
| 2026-10-09 | 55 | Around average | 53 | 69 | 56 |
| 2026-10-01 | 59 | Around average | 67 | 73 | 56 |
| 2026-09-25 | 58 | Around average | 69 | 57 | 56 |
| 2026-09-18 | 60 | Around average | 70 | 57 | 56 |
| 2026-09-11 | 54 | Around average | 66 | 45 | 56 |
| 2026-09-04 | 60 | Above average | 71 | 55 | 56 |
| 2026-08-28 | 62 | Above average | 75 | 51 | 58 |
| 2026-08-21 | 63 | Above average | 74 | 53 | 58 |
| 2026-08-14 | 63 | Above average | 71 | 55 | 58 |
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Questions
What is Hindalco Industries Ltd.'s (HINDALCO) Quantooo score today?
HINDALCO scores 51 out of 100 on 2026-10-29, around average among Nifty 50 stocks. It ranks 18th of 50 overall and 4th of 4 in Metals & Mining. It was 53 a week earlier.
What raises and lowers HINDALCO's score?
Trend adds the most (55/100, +1.2 points) and market backdrop weighs on it most (41/100, -2.2 points). The score is 50 plus each part's weighted distance from 50.
Is HINDALCO stock volatile right now?
Our volatility model (HAR) expects annualised swings of 29.5% over the next 20 trading days, against a normal level of 29.2% for HINDALCO: about as calm as usual for this stock. Its stability score is 55/100 compared with the other Nifty 50 stocks.
How are Hindalco Industries Ltd.'s fundamentals changing?
Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +32.1%; Pre-tax-margin change (profit before tax / sales) vs a year earlier: +2.2 pp; Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: +7.2 pp. Fundamentals score: 55/100. From the NSE results (nse ixbrl) filed 2026-08-07 (period to 2026-06-30).
Does the score predict HINDALCO's share price?
No. The score describes the stock's recent data; it is not a forecast of the share price. Our own tests found no reliable ability to rank stocks by future returns, and every test, including the failures, is published. Educational, not investment advice.
Sector: Metals & Mining. Data as of 2026-10-29. Scores describe data; they are not recommendations or predictions. Educational, not investment advice.